{"id":385,"date":"2018-07-17T13:01:20","date_gmt":"2018-07-17T17:01:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.simplifiedfootball.com\/?p=385"},"modified":"2018-07-17T13:01:20","modified_gmt":"2018-07-17T17:01:20","slug":"look-at-the-playoff-picture-2018","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.simplifiedfootball.com\/look-at-the-playoff-picture-2018\/","title":{"rendered":"Look at the Playoff Picture 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"
As we look at who has made the playoffs in each of the 4 years, you start to see a few patterns.<\/p>\n
With that information you start to get a pretty clear picture of who is most likely to be in the playoffs.\u00a0 There has never been more than 1 Outlier team to make the playoffs in a given year. So 3 of the playoff teams will come from the group of teams that meet all criteria, possibly all 4.\u00a0 But all 4 teams will most likely have a Win-Share above 7, a SF rating of 4.1 or higher, finish higher than 54 in the final 2017 season F\/+ ratings, and have 7 or more games in 2017.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Tier 1 = Meet all 4 of the higher criteria<\/p>\n
Tier 2 = Meet at least 1 of the higher criteria and all outlier criteria<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Here are the teams, listed by Tiers.<\/p>\n
Tier 1:<\/p>\n
Tier 2:<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
There is close to 100% chance that:<\/p>\n
About a 50% chance that:<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Big Games between Teams on these lists (big time Playoff implications in these games):<\/p>\n
These games will do the most in deciding who will be contending for the Playoffs.\u00a0 Of course a win in one of these games and you get a big boost.\u00a0 A loss can probably be overcome.<\/p>\n
Of course you can also add the Conference Championship games which will most likely be between teams on these lists as well (Alabama\/Auburn\/LSU\/Miss St v Georgia, Penn St\/Ohio St\/Michigan\/Mich St v Wisconsin, Clemson\/FSU v Miami, OU\/Texas\/Ok St v each other, Washington\/Stanford\/Oregon v USC).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
As we look at who has made the playoffs in each of the 4 years, you start to see a few patterns. Pattern 1 is that 14 of the 16 teams have had a Win-Share of 8.25 or higher. ALL have had a Win-Share or higher of 7 (6.99) or higher. Pattern 2 is that […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.simplifiedfootball.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/385"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.simplifiedfootball.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.simplifiedfootball.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.simplifiedfootball.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.simplifiedfootball.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=385"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.simplifiedfootball.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/385\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.simplifiedfootball.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=385"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.simplifiedfootball.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=385"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.simplifiedfootball.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=385"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}