Week 3 Preview

September 13, 2018 by Leave a Comment

Formula continues to beat up on me both Straight Up and Against the Spread.

Straight up (Big-Games):

Me = 11-3

Formula = 11-3

 

ATS (Big Games):

Me = 4-9

Formula = 4-9

 

Straight up (all-Games):

Me = 65-26 (71%)

Formula = 74-19 (80%)

 

ATS:

Me = 33-53 (38%)

Formula = 48-39 (55%)

 

This week there are a couple good match-ups but overall a down week.  Still have a few that will picture into the Playoff Picture. One more that could have, but was canceled due to Hurricane Florence (be safe).

Without further adieu here are this weeks games.

Big Games:

  1. 7 Boise St @ 24 Oklahoma St – Both teams have crushed weaker opponents so far this year.  First big test for both teams.  Boise St has a history of big upsets in these types of games, granted most of them were under Peterson and not Harsin, the availability is there.  Boise St seems to be playing very well and looks like they may have a NY6 bowl type of team. Think it’ll be a higher scoring game.
    1. My Pick: Boise St 35 Oklahoma St 31 (Boise -2.5)
    2. Formula: Boise St SU (Boise -2.5)
  2. 8 LSU @ 5 Auburn – Big SEC match-up here with Divisional, Conference, and National implications on the line.  Last year LSU beat Auburn at home by 3, 2 years ago Auburn won at home by 5.  Look for another close match-up. Both defenses should have good days. Very even match-up all around.
    1. My Pick: Auburn 24 LSU 14 (Aub -9.5)
    2. Formula Auburn SU (LSU +9.5)
  3. 2 Ohio St @ TCU – Neither team has faced any competition thus far. TCU started slow against SMU and looked in for a scare but ended up throttling them. Ohio St has dispatched of both opponents rather easily. Both teams are among the favorites for their respective conferences. So there is National implications on the line here.  With a win either team can greatly increase their resume and be Playoff Contenders. Both defenses have been stellar this year thus far. Ohio St’s offense has looked very good and TCU’s above average.
    1. My Pick: Ohio St 34  TCU 24 (TCU +13)
    2. Formula Ohio St SU (Ohio St -13)
  4. Washington @ Utah – Conference foes that have excellent defenses.  Washington has won both of the last 2 meetings buy 1 score (3 points in ’17 and 7 points in ’16).  I expect both defenses to really battle it out and slow this game down. Washington has a superior (far) offense and that might be the difference in this game as Browning has done very well against Utah the last 2 years.
    1. My Pick: Washington 24 Utah 14 (Wash -7)
    2. Formula: Washington SU (Wash -7)
  5. USC @ Texas – These 2 historic powers faced off last year with USC winning by 3 through the arm of Sam Darnold. Darnold is gone. Texas returns a lot.  It also is in Texas this year on the 2nd leg of a Home and Home (@USC last year). Both defenses should dominate this game and see a low scoring affair.
    1. My Pick: Texas 24 USC 21 (PUSH)
    2. Formula: USC SU (USC +3)
  6. Florida State @ Syracuse – Syracuse has not beaten FSU since the 1960’s (their lone win against FSU). FSU has won the last 10. Syracuse’s offense has been on fire against weaker opponents and FSU is mis-firing early in Taggart’s tenure.  If FSU does not get it going this could be a big win for Syracuse.  Look for FSU to continue to struggle as new schemes are implemented.  How much they struggle will be key here.  FSU won by 3 last year over Syracuse.
    1. My Pick: FSU 31 Syracuse 27 (FSU -3)
    2. Formula: FSU SU (FSU -3)

 

The Rest:

  1. Boston College (-5.5) @ Wake Forest
    1. My Pick: BC SU (BC -5.5)
    2. Formula: BC SU (BC -5.5)
  2. Georgia St @ Memphis
    1. My Pick: Memphis SU (Memphis -27.5)
    2. Formula: Memphis SU (GSU +27.5)
  3. Temple @ Maryland
    1. My Pick: MD SU (MD -16)
    2. Formula: MD SU (MD -16)
  4. 3 Oklahoma @ Iowa St
    1. My Pick: OU SU (OU -17)
    2. Formula: OU SU (OU -17)
  5. Rutgers @ Kansas
    1. My Pick: Rutgers SU (Rut +3)
    2. Formula: Rutgers SU (Rut +3)
  6. Troy @ Nebraska
    1. My Pick: Nebraska SU (Neb -11.5)
    2. Formula: Neb SU (Neb -11.5)
  7. Ball St @ Indiana
    1. My Pick: Indiana SU (Ind -16.5)
    2. Formula: Indiana SU (BSU +16.5)
  8. Kent St @ 10 Penn St
    1. My Pick: PSU SU (PSU -35)
    2. Formula: PSU SU (KSU +35)
  9. Miami @ Toledo
    1. My Pick: Miami SU (Miami -10)
    2. Formula: Miami SU (Miami -10)
  10. UTEP @ Tennessee
    1. My Pick: Tenn SU (Tenn -30.5)
    2. Formula: Tenn SU (Tenn -30.5)
  11. Hawaii @ Army
    1. My Pick: Army SU (Army -7)
    2. Formula: Hawaii SU (Hawaii +7)
  12. Georgia Tech @ Pittsburgh
    1. My Pick: GT SU (GT -4.5)
    2. Formula: GT SU (Pitt -4.5)
  13. Tulane @ UAB
    1. My Pick: UAB SU (UAB +4)
    2. Formula: Tulane SU (Tulane -4)
  14. 18 Vandy @ 20 ND
    1. My Pick: ND SU (ND -14)
    2. Formula: Vandy SU (Vandy +14)
  15. Georgia Southern @ 6 Clemson
    1. My Pick: Clem SU (GSU +33)
    2. Formula: Clem SU (GSU +33)
  16. USF @ Illinois
    1. My Pick: USF SU (Illini -10)
    2. Formula: USF SU (Illini -10)
  17. SMU @ 12 Michigan
    1. My Pick: Mich SU (Mich -35)
    2. Formula: Mich SU (Mich -35)
  18. Miami (Oh) @ Minnesota
    1. My Pick: Minn SU (Minn -14.5)
    2. Formula: Minn SU (Minn -14.5)
  19. BYU @ 15 Wisconsin
    1. My Pick: Wisc SU (Wisc -21)
    2. Formula: Wisc SU (BYU +21)
  20. Central Mich @ Northern Illinois
    1. My pick: NIU SU (NIU -14)
    2. Formula: NIU SU (CMU +14)
  21. Duke @ Baylor
    1. My Pick: Duke SU (Duke +6.5)
    2. Formula: Duke SU (Duke +6.5)
  22. Southern Miss @ Appalachian St
    1. My Pick: App St SU (USM +16)
    2. Formula: App St SU (UMS +16)
  23. UTSA @ Kansas St
    1. My Pick: KSU SU (KSU -21.5)
    2. Formula: KSU SU (UTSA +21.5)
  24. Colorado St @ Florida
    1. My Pick: UF SU (CSU +20)
    2. Formula: UF SU (CSU +20)
  25. North Texas @ Arkansas
    1. My Pick: Ark SU (Ark -7.5)
    2. Formula: Ark SU (NT +7.5)
  26. Houston @ Texas Tech
    1. My Pick: Houston SU (Hou -1)
    2. Formula: Hous SU (Hou -1)
  27. Ohio @ Virginia
    1. My Pick: UVA SU (UVA -3.5)
    2. Formula: UVA SU (UVA -3.5)
  28. San Jose St @ 23 Oregon
    1. My Pick: Oregon SU (SJSU +41)
    2. Formula: Oregon SU (SJSU +41)
  29. Eastern Michigan @ Buffalo
    1. My Pick: Buffalo SU (Buff -4.5)
    2. Formula: Buffalo SU (EMU +4.5)
  30. Old Dominion @ Charlotte
    1. My Pick: Charlotte SU (Char +1.5)
    2. Formula: Charlotte SU (Char +1.5)
  31. Oregon St @ Nevada
    1. My Pick: Oregon St SU (OSU +3.5)
    2. Formula: OSU SU (OSU +3.5)
  32. 1 Alabama @ 19 Ole Miss
    1. My Pick: Alabama SU (Bama -21)
    2. Formula: Alabama SU (PUSH)
  33. Arkansas St @ Tulsa
    1. My Pick: ASU SU (ASU -1.5)
    2. Formula: Tulsa SU (Tulsa +1.5)
  34. Texas St @ South Alabama
    1. My Pick: USA SU (TSU +10.5)
    2. Formula: USA SU (TSU +10.5)
  35. MTSU @ 4 Georgia
    1. My Pick: Georgia SU (UGA -32.5)
    2. Formula: UGA SU (UGA -32.5)
  36. Akron @ Northwestern
    1. My Pick: Northwestern SU (Akron +21.5)
    2. Formula: NW SU (Akron +21.5)
  37. 21 Missouri @ Purdue
    1. My Pick: Mizzou SU (Mizzou -7.5)
    2. Formula: Mizzou SU (Mizzou -7.5)
  38. Marshall @ South Carolina
    1. My Pick: USC SU (USC -13.5)
    2. Formula: USC SU (Marshall +13.5)
  39. Louisiana @ 16 Mississippi St
    1. My Pick: MSU SU (La +33)
    2. Formula: MSU SU (La +33)
  40. La-Monroe @ Texas AM
    1. My Pick: TAMU SU (TAMU -27)
    2. Formula: TAMU SU (ULM +27)
  41. Western KY @ Louisville
    1. My Pick: UL SU (UL -23)
    2. Formula: UL SU (UL -23)
  42. UMASS @ Florida Int’l
    1. My Pick: FIU SU (FIU -4)
    2. Formula: FIU SU (FIU -4)
  43. New Mexico @ New Mexico St
    1. My Pick: NM SU (NM -5)
    2. Formula: NM SU (NM -5)
  44. Fresno St @ UCLA
    1. My Pick: UCLA SU
    2. Formula: UCLA SU
  45. 22 Arizona St @ San Diego St
    1. My Pick: ASU SU (ASU -5)
    2. Formula: ASU SU (ASU -5)

Be Safe and have fun watching Football.

Filed Under: 2018 Games

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