Big 12 Coach Rankings

  1. Lincoln Riley – Oklahoma
  2. Tom Herman – Texas
  3. Gary Patterson – TCU
  4. Mike Gundy – Oklahoma St
  5. Bill Snyder – Kansas St
  6. Matt Campbell – Iowa St
  7. Dana Holgorsen – West Virginia
  8. Matt Rhule – Baylor
  9. Kliff Kingsbury – Texas Tech
  10. David Beaty – Kansas

Big 10 Coach Rankings

  1. Mark Dantonio – Michigan St
  2. Urban Meyer – Ohio St
  3. Scott Frost – Nebraska
  4. James Franklin – Penn St
  5. Jeff Brohm – Purdue
  6. Jim Harbaugh – Michigan
  7. Paul Chryst – Wisconsin
  8. Kirk Ferentz – Iowa
  9. PJ Fleck – Minnesota
  10. Pat Fitzgerald – Northwestern
  11. Tom Allen – Indiana
  12. DJ Durkin – Maryland
  13. Chris Ash – Rutgers
  14. Lovie Smith – Illinois

ACC Coach Ranking

See the main coach ranking post for explanation of ranking system.

  1. Dabo Swinney – Clemson
  2. Justin Fuente – Virginia Tech
  3. David Cutcliffe – Duke
  4. Bobby Petrino – Louisville
  5. Mark Richt – Miami
  6. Larry Fedora – UNC
  7. Dave Doeren – NC State
  8. Willie Taggart – FSU
  9. Pat Narduzzi – Pitt
  10. Paul Johnson – GT
  11. Bronco Mendenhall – UVA
  12. Dave Clawson – Wake Forest
  13. Dino Babers – Syracuse
  14. Steve Addazio – Boston College

Coach Rankings

This is a objective measure as we try to have almost everything here at Simplified Football.

There are 3 components that went in to these rankings:

1-Game Coaching.  Using our formula for rating the teams and arriving at Win probabilities we have a formula that says how those teams have done in relation to what they “should” have done based on their talent/experience.

2-Wins.  Both pure wins and Wins Above Replacement (taking the previous years before the coach showed up and after if he has left)

3-Recruiting.  Few aspects here.  Pure Recruiting rankings, recruiting rankings compared to others at school (before and after), and rankings compared to your geographical peers (Power 5 Southern, Power 5 West Coast, Group of 5 Southern, ec).

This is a ranking of what these coaches have done the last 5 years.

Top 25 coaches

  1. Nick Saban (Alabama)
  2. David Shaw (Stanford)
  3. Mark Dantonio (Michigan St)
  4. Urban Meyer (Ohio St)
  5. Dabo Swinney (Clemson)
  6. Chris Peterson (Washington)
  7. James Franklin (Penn St)
  8. Rocky Long (San Diego St)
  9. Dan Mullen (Florida)
  10. Jimbo Fisher (Texas A&M)
  11. Gary Patterson (TCU)
  12. Doc Holliday (Marshall)
  13. Jeff Brohm (Purdue)
  14. Justin Fuente (Virginia Tech)
  15. David Cutcliffe (Duke)
  16. Bobby Petrino (Louisville)
  17. Gus Malzahn (Auburn)
  18. Mark Richt (Miami)
  19. Bryan Harsin (Boise St)
  20. Mike Leach (Texas Tech)
  21. Mike Gundy (Oklahoma St)
  22. Larry Fedora (UNC)
  23. Paul Chryst (Wisconsin)
  24. Kirk Ferentz (Iowa)
  25. Brian Kelly (Notre Dame)

To Note: Coaches who have 1-3  years of HC experience are not included in the above list.  To us it takes at least 4 years to truly see the value of an HC.  However here are the coaches who have coached less than 4 years that would have cracked the top 25.

Mike Norvell (Memphis) – 5th

Lincoln Riley (Oklahoma) – 7th

Scott Frost (Nebraska) – 8th

Tom Herman (Texas) – 12th

Kirby Smart (Georgia) – 16th

Jim Harbaugh (Michigan) – 22nd *his rankings from Stanford are not included*

Butch Davis (FIU) – 23rd *his rankings from UNC/Miami are not included*

Jason Candle (Toledo) – 24th

 

Top 20 Recruiters:

  1. James Franklin
  2. Urban Meyer
  3. Brian Kelly
  4. Nick Saban
  5. Jimbo Fisher
  6. David Shaw
  7. Dabo Swinney
  8. Mark Dantonio
  9. Gus Malzahn
  10. Jim Harbaugh
  11. Mark Stoops
  12. Bryan Harsin
  13. Chris Peterson
  14. Mark Richt
  15. Willie Taggart
  16. Mike Norvell
  17. Tom Herman
  18. Bobby Petrino
  19. Matt Rhule
  20. Larry Fedora

Others who would be top 20:

Kirby Smart (3rd)

Clay Helton (4th)

Luke Fickell (6th)

DJ Durkin (7th)

Scott Frost (8th)

Lincoln Riley (10th)

 

Top 20 Game Coaches:

  1. Ken Niumatalolo
  2. Bill Snyder
  3. Matt Wells
  4. Kirk Ferentz
  5. Jeff Brohm
  6. Scott Satterfield
  7. Chris Peterson
  8. Gary Patterson
  9. Justin Fuente
  10. Mark Dantonio
  11. David Shaw
  12. Dan Mullen
  13. Mike Gundy
  14. Troy Calhoun
  15. Paul Johnson
  16. Paul Chryst
  17. Rod Carey
  18. Matt Rhule
  19. Willie Fritz
  20. Kyle Whittingham

Others who would be on this list:

Mike Norvell (1st)

Jason Candle (4th)

Tom Herman (5th)

Lincoln Riley (9th)

Tom Allen (9th)

Justin Wilcox (16th)

Jeff Tedford (16th)

 

This would not just be X’s and O’s, but also player development, etc. These guys get more out of their players than other coaches do.

 

Again these are objective measures, not my personal rankings.

Simplified Football New Years Day Bowl Predictions

We have posted the Top 25 Rankings, and each conference prediction.  Here is the College Football Playoff and New Years 6 bowl projections:

Playoffs:

Orange Bowl – #1 Clemson v #4 Washington

Cotton Bowl – #2 Alabama v #3 Penn State

 

New Years Day Bowls:

Rose Bowl – #8 Ohio St v #9 Stanford

Peach Bowl – #11 UCF v # 12 FSU

Fiesta Bowl – #7 Auburn v #10 Wisconsin

Sugar Bowl – #5 Oklahoma v #6 Georgia

 

National Champ (Bay Area, CA) – Clemson v Alabama

National Champ = Clemson

Simplified Football Formula

This is a formula that Jason Staples and myself have been working on over the last 5 years.  It has many layers to it, and we continue to discuss it and tweak it every off-season.

Here is the basic run-down. Please understand I will not be specific on the numbers as it will divulge too much information on the formula itself, I just want to give the readers something to understand where it is coming from.

  1. The base of the formula comes from the recruiting star ranking. We use the 247 composite ratings (funny side note, before I knew the 247 composite ratings existed I was basically doing that myself using Rivals, Scout, and ESPN rankings.  Thankfully I found 247 composite ratings, that did that work for me) as they are generally the least biased (which is what we are going for).
  2. Once we have the star rating we add in 2 experience ratings: One is how many years they have been in college, and Two is how much starting experience they have. Also there are multipliers depending on positions as well.  The first year in college and the first year starting are generally worth more than subsequent years as well.
  3. We also have multipliers for players that get All-Conference, All-American, Freshman All-American, and individual Award recognition (Heisman, Thorpe, Butkus, etc).
  4. Last we have a multiplier for Coaching/Intangibles.  It is based on previous years performances. IE if a coach typically had his team performing at 7 points higher than what was expected from the formula, then that will go into the next year’s rankings. It is averaged out over 5 years as well.  It also takes into account trends. IE if a coach has year one at -5, year two at -2, year three at 2, and year four at 5, the average will be zero, but the trend would say they would be above 5, so the multiplier would end up closer to the trend than the average.

Regarding the Win-Shares.  Through much meticulous record keeping we were able to figure out how the percentage of how much each team wins given how much “better” they are than the other team.  IE a team that is X amount better than their opponent would be expected to win X% of the time.  This we have calculated both Away and Home.

This formula has no bias in it, it is completely objective.  The predictions do have some of my own bias in it (thus the differences between Win-Shares and predictions).  Thus the Ratings and Rankings are purely objective.  No I do not think FSU is the 5th best team going into the season, but that is objectively what the formula puts out. Nor do I think Florida is 15th, Tennessee 18th, or UCLA 25th. But I do think those teams have the talent capable of putting them in those spots.

Group of 5 Conferences Preview and Predictions

2017 was probably the best team the Group of 5 has put forth in the Playoff Era. UCF went undefeated and beat Top 10 Auburn in a bowl game.  Still was unable to come close to the playoff.  There is a healthy chance that UCF could be even better in 2018, but with a much more difficult schedule.  If they are able to run the table again they should be looking at a potential playoff spot. Other schools who could fight for that Group of 5 New Years Bowl slot are Memphis, FAU, Boise St, San Diego St, Northern Illinois, and maybe a few others.

 

American Predictions:

East

Team – Record (Conf)  /  Win-Shares (Conf)  /  Rating

  1. Central Florida – 11-1 (7-1)  /  8.72 (5.82)  /  4.29
  2. South Florida – 8-4 (6-2)  /  7.54 (4.73)  /  3.86
  3. Temple – 6-6 (4-4)  /  6.04 (3.91)  /  3.53
  4. ECU – 5-7 (3-5)  /  5.83 (3.58)  /  3.41
  5. Cincinnati – 5-7 (3-5)  /  5.13 (3.18)  /  3.21
  6. UCONN – 4-8 (2-6)  /  4.05 (2.35)  /  2.88

West

Team – Record (Conf)  /  Win-Shares (Conf)  /  Rating

  1. Memphis – 9-3 (6-2)  /  8.19 (5.09)  /  4.12
  2. Houston – 8-4 (5-3)  /  7.84 (5.04)  /  3.86
  3. Navy – 7-5 (4-4)  /  5.71 (3.12)  /  3.34
  4. SMU – 6-6 (4-4)  /  6.5 (3.40)  /  3.70
  5. Tulsa – 5-7 (3-5)  /  5.82 (3.97)  /  3.97
  6. Tulane – 2-10 (1-7)  /  4.43 (2.87)  /  3.20

Memphis and UCF meet again in the AAC championship game. UCF wins the AAC and repeats as the Group of 5 representative in the New Years 6 bowls. Memphis finishes as a borderline top 25 team. 7 teams are bowl eligible.

 

 

MWC Predictions:

Mountain

Team – Record (Conf)  /  Win-Shares (Conf)  /  Rating

  1. Boise State – 9-3 (6-2)  /  8.46 (5.98)  /  4.05
  2. Wyoming – 8-4 (6-2)  /  6.92 (4.72)  /  3.46
  3. Utah St – 7-5 (5-3)  /  6.83 (4.63)  /  3.43
  4. Colorado St – 7-5 (5-3)  /  6.40 (4.55)  /  3.41
  5. Air Force – 4-8 (3-5)  /  5.05 (3.05)  /  3.05
  6. New Mexico – 5-7 (2-6)  /  4.90 (2.75)  /  2.83

West

Team – Record (Conf)  /  Win-Shares (Conf)  /  Rating

  1. San Diego St – 8-4 (6-2)  /  7.30 (5.10)  /  3.59
  2. Fresno St – 7-5 (5-3)  /  6.42 (4.45)  /  3.43
  3. Nevada – 7-5 (5-3)  /  5.82 (3.77)  /  3.18
  4. UNLV – 5-7 (3-5)  /  5.34 (3.44)  /  2.99
  5. San Jose St– 3-9 (1-7 )  /  4.65 (3.05)  /  2.64
  6. Hawaii – 3-9 (1-7 ) /  4.84 (2.51)  /  2.57

Boise St against San Diego St in the MWC Championship game.  Boise St winds up the MWC champions.  MWC ends up with 7 Bowl Eligible teams.

 

 

 

 

CUSA Predictions:

East

Team – Record (Conf)  /  Win-Shares (Conf)  /  Rating

  1. FAU – 9-3 (7-1)  /  8.38 (5.83)  /  4.08
  2. Marshall – 8-4 (6-2)  / 6.70 (4.65)  /  3.53
  3. MTSU – 6-6 (5-3)  /  5.90 (4.35)  /  3.60
  4. FIU – 6-6 (5-3)  / 6.36 (4.16)  /  3.26
  5. Old Dominion – 6-6 (4-4)  /  6.40 (4.10)  /  3.24
  6. Charlotte – 6-6 (3-5)  /  5.67 (3.52)  /  3.32
  7. WKU – 3-9 (1-7)  /  4.10 (2.75)  /  2.52

West

Team – Record (Conf)  /  Win-Shares (Conf)  /  Rating

  1. UAB – 9-3 (6-2)  /  7.98 (5.38)  /  3.63
  2. Southern Miss – 7-5 (5-3)  /  5.90 (4.35)  /  3.17
  3. North Texas – 5-7 (3-5)  /  6.15 (4.00)  /  3.27
  4. UTSA – 4-8 (3-5)  /  4.36 (3.41)  /  2.91
  5. UTEP – 4-8 (3-5)  /  5.50 (3.50)  /  2.89
  6. Rice – 4-8 (3-5)  /  4.62 (2.95)  /  2.70
  7. La Tech – 4-8 (2-6)  /  4.97 (3.20)  /  2.97

FAU runs through the Conference USA and almost pulls off a major upset in Norman. They win against UAB in the CUSA championship game and crack the top 25 poll. 7 teams from CUSA gain bowl eligibility.

 

 

 

MAC Predictions:

East

Team – Record (Conf)  /  Win-Shares (Conf)  /  Rating

  1. Miami (Oh) – 6-6 (5-3)  /  6.47 (4.60)  /  3.36
  2. Akron – 6-6 (5-3)  /  5.81 (4.36)  /  3.33
  3. Ohio – 6-6 (4-4)  /  6.02 (3.75)  /  3.01
  4. Buffalo – 5-7 (3-5)  /  5.84 (3.29)  /  3.08
  5. Bowling Green – 4-8 (3-5)  /  4.50 (3.20)  /  2.77
  6. Kent State – 3-9 (2-6)  /  5.00 (3.75)  /  2.86

West

Team – Record (Conf)  /  Win-Shares (Conf)  /  Rating

  1. Northern Ill – 9-3 (6-2)  /  6.05 (4.92)  /  3.64
  2. Western Mich – 8-4 (6-2)  /  6.91 (4.73)  /  3.35
  3. Central Mich – 6-6 (5-3)  /  6.10 (4.35)  /  3.36
  4. Toledo – 7-5 (5-3)  /  6.38 (4.25)  /  3.38
  5. East Mich – 5-7 (3-5)  /  5.55 (3.60)  /  3.06
  6. Ball St – 3-9 (2-6)  /  4.35 (2.90)  /  2.76

Northern Illinois over Miami (oh) in the MAC championship game.  6 teams gain bowl eligibility.

 

Sun Belt Predictions:

East

Team – Record (Conf)  /  Win-Shares (Conf)  /  Rating

  1. Troy – 10-2 (7-1) / 8.02 (5.70) / 3.72
  2. Appalachian St – 8-4 (6-2) / 7.35 (5.20) / 3.50
  3. Coastal Carolina – 4-8 (3-5) / 5.1 (3.40) / 2.83
  4. Georgia State – 4-8 (3-5) / 4.35 (2.90) / 2.69
  5. Georgia Southern – 4-8 (2-6) / 6.45 (4.15) / 3.13

West

Team – Record (Conf)  /  Win-Shares (Conf)  /  Rating

  1. Arkansas St – 8-4 (6-2) / 6.97 (4.82) / 3.32
  2. La-Monroe – 6-6 (5-3) / 6.06 (4.41) / 3.17
  3. South Alabama – 5-7 (4-4) / 5.13 (3.40) / 2.86
  4. Louisiana – 5-7 (3-5) / 4.97 (3.37) / 2.74
  5. Texas St – 4-8 (2-6) / 4.55 (2.70) / 2.53

In the inaugural Sun Belt Championship game Troy over Arkansas St.  Troy finishes in the top 25. Sun Belt finishes with 4 Bowl Eligible teams.

 

 

Independent Predictions:

Team – Record  /  Win-Shares   /  Rating

  1. Notre Dame – 8-4 / 7.66 / 4.40
  2. Army – 7-5 / 6.71 / 3.19
  3. BYU – 6-6 / 6.60 / 3.74
  4. UMASS – 3-9 / 4.28 / 2.90
  5. New Mexico St – 3-9 / 4.50 / 2.80
  6. Liberty – 3-9 / 4.65 / 2.75

3 independent teams wind up Bowl eligible.  Notre Dame cracks the top 25.

Look at the Playoff Picture 2018

As we look at who has made the playoffs in each of the 4 years, you start to see a few patterns.

  1. Pattern 1 is that 14 of the 16 teams have had a Win-Share of 8.25 or higher.
    1. ALL have had a Win-Share or higher of 7 (6.99) or higher.
  2. Pattern 2 is that 15 of the 16 teams have had a SF Rating of 4.40 or higher.
    1. ALL have had a SF Rating of 4.1 or higher.
  3. Pattern 3 is that 15 of the 16 teams finished 19th or higher in the previous seasons final F/+ Ratings.
    1. ALL of them finished 54th or higher.
  4. Pattern 4 is that 14 of the 16 teams had 10 or more wins the previous season.
    1. ALL of them had 7 or more wins the previous season.

With that information you start to get a pretty clear picture of who is most likely to be in the playoffs.  There has never been more than 1 Outlier team to make the playoffs in a given year. So 3 of the playoff teams will come from the group of teams that meet all criteria, possibly all 4.  But all 4 teams will most likely have a Win-Share above 7, a SF rating of 4.1 or higher, finish higher than 54 in the final 2017 season F/+ ratings, and have 7 or more games in 2017.

 

Tier 1 = Meet all 4 of the higher criteria

Tier 2 = Meet at least 1 of the higher criteria and all outlier criteria

 

Here are the teams, listed by Tiers.

Tier 1:

  1. Clemson
  2. Penn St
  3. Ohio St
  4. Wisconsin
  5. Oklahoma
  6. Washington
  7. Southern California
  8. Alabama
  9. Auburn
  10. Georgia

Tier 2:

  1. FSU
  2. Miami
  3. Michigan
  4. Stanford
  5. Michigan St
  6. Oklahoma St
  7. LSU
  8. Miss St
  9. UCF
  10. Notre Dame
  11. Texas
  12. Oregon

 

There is close to 100% chance that:

  1. 3 of the 4 Playoff teams will come from the first Tier teams
  2. The National Champion will come from the first Tier teams
  3. The 2 Championship teams will come from the list of 22 teams.

About a 50% chance that:

  1. 1 of the Playoff teams will come from the second Tier teams

 

Big Games between Teams on these lists (big time Playoff implications in these games):

  1. Washington v Auburn (Week 1)
  2. Michigan at Notre Dame (Week 1)
  3. Miami v LSU (Week 1)
  4. Ohio St at Penn St (Week 5)
  5. Stanford at Notre Dame (Week 5)
  6. Texas v Oklahoma (Week 6)
  7. FSU at Miami (Week 6)
  8. Auburn at Miss St (Week 6)
  9. Washington at Oregon (Week 7)
  10. Georgia at LSU (Week 7)
  11. Michigan St at Penn St (Week 7)
  12. Wisconsin at Michigan (Week 7)
  13. Michigan at Michigan St (Week 8)
  14. Clemson at FSU (Week 9)
  15. Texas at Oklahoma St (Week 9)
  16. Stanford at Washington (Week 10)
  17. Penn St at Michigan (Week 10)
  18. Alabama at LSU (Week 10)
  19. Wisconsin at Penn St (Week 11)
  20. Auburn at Georgia (Week 11)
  21. Ohio St at Michigan St (Week 11)
  22. Oklahoma St at Oklahoma (Week 11)
  23. FSU at Notre Dame (Week 11)
  24. Notre Dame at USC (Week 13 – Rivalry Week)
  25. Michigan at Ohio St (Week 13 – Rivalry Week)
  26. Auburn at Alabama (Week 13 – Rivalry Week)

These games will do the most in deciding who will be contending for the Playoffs.  Of course a win in one of these games and you get a big boost.  A loss can probably be overcome.

Of course you can also add the Conference Championship games which will most likely be between teams on these lists as well (Alabama/Auburn/LSU/Miss St v Georgia, Penn St/Ohio St/Michigan/Mich St v Wisconsin, Clemson/FSU v Miami, OU/Texas/Ok St v each other, Washington/Stanford/Oregon v USC).

2018 Big Ten Preview

2016 was a Banner year for the Big 10.  Last year they fell off slightly as they lost a lot of talent. However we think 2018 they will bounce back.  Ohio St will be their normal top 10 self under Urban Meyer, Michigan should bounce back with a lot of gained experience from a rebuilding year, Michigan St should also be improved again.  Penn St has recruited very well the last several years and they have done very well in developing their players, with a returning 2 year starter at QB, look for Penn St to have a big year now that they have talent close to the level of Ohio St and Michigan.  Wisconsin is very experienced returning their OL, which is almost entirely 2 and 3 year starters and features several All-American candidates.  Essentially what Clemson’s DL did, is what Wisconsin’s OL did in returning to school and foregoing the NFL draft. All 5 of those teams could make a run at the top 10, and I think there is a good chance that at least 3 of them will finish there with the other 2 likely in the top 15. The middle of the pack Big 10 has also improved the year with 6-12 being good enough to make a bowl, or even a run at the top 25. Unfortunately not all of them will be able to, and you’ll likely see 1-2 that are good enough to be bowl eligible, not be.

Big Ten Predictions:

East

Team – Record (Conf)  /  Win-Shares (Conf)  /  Rating

  1. Penn St – 11-1 (8-1)  /  9.39 (6.64)  /  4.99
  2. Ohio St – 10-2 (7-2)  /  8.77 (6.18)  /  4.63
  3. Michigan – 9-3 (7-2)  /  8.20 (5.81)  /  4.77
  4. Michigan St – 9-3 (6-4)  /  7.22 (5.02)  /  4.40
  5. Maryland – 7-5 (4-5)  /  7.06 (4.81)  /  4.13
  6. Indiana – 6-6 (4-5)  /  6.01 (3.81)  /  3.96
  7. Rutgers – 2-10 (0-9)  /  3.50 (1.75)  /  2.91

West

Team – Record (Conf)  /  Win-Shares (Conf)  /  Rating

  1. Wisconsin – 10-2 (7-2)  /  8.80 (6.05)  /  4.84
  2. Northwestern – 7-5 (4-5)  /  6.39 (4.40)  /  4.16
  3. Nebraska – 6-6 (4-5)  /  6.68 (4.33)  /  4.18
  4. Purdue – 5-7 (4-5)  /  5.23 (3.48)  /  3.84
  5. Iowa – 6-6 (3-6)  /  6.60 (4.2)  /  4.12
  6. Minnesota – 6-6 (3-6)  /  6.02 (3.62)  /  3.85
  7. Illinois – 5-7 (2-7)  /  5.22 (2.90)  /  3.42

 

Penn State v Wisconsin in the Champ Game with Penn State winning the rematch.  Wisconsin, Ohio St finish in top 10 with Michigan, Michigan St finishing in the top 20.  11 Bowl Eligible teams.

2018 Pac 12 Preview

In 2018 the Pac 12 missed out on the playoffs for the 2nd time. This year the Pac 12 looks pretty top heavy, so if one of those top teams is able to make it through either unscathed or with only 1 loss, then they should be able to make it back to the playoffs this year.  Washington, USC, and Stanford return a healthy amount of talent and should be improved, as should Oregon. The rest of the conference should have a decent amount of parity, even with UCLA hiring of Chip Kelly, and the wonky set-up that Arizona State has with General Manager Herm Edwards.  It should be a good year for the Pac 12.

 

For each Conference we will have the Simplified Football predictions (record) with the Projected Win-Shares and rating of each team next to it.

 

Pac 12 Predictions:

North

Team – Record (Conf)  /  Win-Shares (Conf)  /  Rating

  1. Washington – 11-1 (9-0)  /  8.55 (6.20)  /  4.77
  2. Stanford – 10-2 (8-1)  /  8.32 (5.92)  /  4.76
  3. Oregon – 8-4 (5-4)  /  8.09 (5.19)  /  4.38
  4. California – 7-5 (5-4)  /  6.15 (4.05)  /  4.13
  5. Washington St – 6-6 (3-6)  /  5.84 (3.54)  /  3.90
  6. Oregon St – 3-9 (1-8)  /  4.5 (2.8)  /  3.57

South

Team – Record (Conf)  /  Win-Shares (Conf)  /  Rating

  1. USC – 9-3 (7-2)  /  8.38 (6.27)  /  4.63
  2. Arizona – 6-6 (4-5)  /  6.12 (4.07)  /  3.90
  3. Utah – 6-6 (3-6)  /  5.50 (3.38)  /  3.88
  4. UCLA – 5-7 (3-6)  /  6.58 (4.51)  /  4.23
  5. Colorado – 6-6 (3-6)  /  6.15 (4.25)  /  3.91
  6. Arizona St – 4-8 (3-6)  /  5.92 (3.82)  / 4.00

Washington v USC in the Championship game with Washington winning and advancing to the Playoffs. USC and Stanford are top 10 teams with Oregon vying for a top 25 spot. 9 teams from Pac 12 make a bowl game.