Pac 12 Win Shares

Here are the 2015 Pac 12 Win Shares:

TEAM Total (Pac 12)

NORTH

Oregon 9.55 (7.03)

Stanford 7.01 (5.09)

California 6.96 (4.7)

Oregon St 5.52 (3.57)

Washington 5.54 (3.44)

Washington St 5.46 (3.3)

SOUTH

Southern Cal 9.2 (6.75)

UCLA 8.45 (5.92)

Arizona 7.45 (4.67)

Arizona St 5.97 (3.84)

Utah 4.71 (3.11)

Colorado 4.47 (2.58)

 

Have USC and Oregon running away with their respective divisions and facing off in the Championship game. USC is favored in that game with a .55 Win Share.

Notes: We think this is going to be a down year overall for the Pac 12, which means there is a good chance that the Pac 12 champ will be in the playoff. 

2014 Pac12 Preview

The Pac12 in 2013 made a claim to rival the SEC as the best conference in the land.  This year they are starting out with many top 25 teams, and look to again make a strong claim as the top conference.  We believe that they are are good as the SEC through the top 7 teams as the SEC, but the bottom is not as strong as the SEC. There should be 2 team races for each of the division titles as Oregon and Stanford battle it out in the North (with Washington as a dark horse) and USC and UCLA battling it out in the South (with the Arizona schools as dark horses). If one of the teams can make it through the Pac 12 with only 1 loss, we look for that team to be in the Playoffs.

 

On to the preview:

North

OREGON:

Overall Rating – 4.90

PAC 12 Win Share – 7.03 (Total of 9.91)

STANFORD:

Overall Rating – 4.65

PAC 12 Win Share – 5.91 (Total of 8.47)

WASHINGTON:

Overall Rating – 4.30

PAC 12 Win Share – 4.97 (Total of 8.59)

OREGON STATE:

Overall Rating – 3.82

PAC 12 Win Share – 3.62 (Total of 6.09)

WASHINGTON STATE:

Overall Rating – 3.69

PAC 12 Win Share – 2.84 (Total of 5.15)

CALIFORNIA:

Overall Rating – 3.58

PAC 12 Win Share – 2.40 (Total of 4.04)

 

 

South

UCLA:

Overall Rating – 4.70

PAC 12 Win Share – 6.24 (Total of 8.54)

USC:

Overall Rating – 4.54

PAC 12 Win Share – 6.02 (Total of 8.38)

ARIZONA STATE:

Overall Rating – 4.27

PAC 12 Win Share – 4.74 (Total of 7.07)

ARIZONA:

Overall Rating – 4.15

PAC 12 Win Share – 4.54 (Total of 7.13)

UTAH:

Overall Rating – 3.94

PAC 12 Win Share – 3.50 (Total of 5.57)

COLORADO:

Overall Rating – 3.47

PAC 12 Win Share – 2.19 (Total of 4.29)

 

We have Oregon playing UCLA in the championship game, with Oregon winning and making it to the Playoff.

 

 

Top 5 Offenses:

Oregon

Arizona

Arizona State

Washington

Stanford

Top 5 Defenses:

USC

Stanford

Oregon

UCLA

Washington

Storylines to watch for:

  1. Will Marcus Mariotta and Brett Hundley stay healthy and perform to the expectations?
  2. How will Chris Peterson do at a Major FBS program (Washington)?
  3. Will Stanford’s defense be able to replace the backbone of the #Partyinthebackfield?
  4. Will this be the year that Oregon finally breaks through and wins a National Championship?
  5. Will Mike Leach take Washington’s States offense to the next level and create an offensive juggernaut?

PAC 12 – 2013 SF Power Ratings

Here are the 2013 Simplified Football Power ratings for the PAC 12 conference.

North
Washington – 4.26
Oregon – 4.25
California – 4.06
Stanford – 4.05
Oregon St – 3.94
Washington St – 3.45

South
USC – 4.91
UCLA – 4.22
Utah – 3.75
Arizona St – 3.74
Arizona – 3.70
Colorado – 3.50

The Pac 12 North is considerably stronger than the South is. I compare the Pac12 to the ACC. One division with 2 strong teams and a bunch of weaker teams (ACC – Atlantic), One division with a lot of good teams (about as strong as the 2nd best team in the other division).