2019 MWC Preview

Mountain Division

PlaceTeamWin-Share (Conf)Record (Conf)Rating
1Boise St
Broncos
9.6 (6.9)10-2 (7-1)4.12
2Utah State
Aggies
6.4 (4.2)8-4 (6-2)3.45
3Wyoming
Cowboys
5.6 (3.5)7-5 (5-3)3.11
4Air Force
Falcons
6.1 (4.1)7-5 (4-4)3.33
5Colorado St
Rams
6.0 (3.9)4-8 (3-5)3.35
6New Mexico
Lobos
3.7 (2.2)3-9 (1-7)2.66

West Division

PlaceTeamWin-Share (Conf)Record (Conf)Rating
1San Diego St
Aztecs
7.8 (5.2)9-3 (6-2)3.74
2Fresno St
Bulldogs
7.1 (4.7)8-4 (5-3)3.51
2Hawaii
Rainbow Warriors
7.4 (4.6)7-5 (5-3)3.53
4Nevada
Wolfpack
5.4 (3.5)5-7 (3-5)3.10
5UNLV Rebels4.3 (2.6)4-8 (2-6)3.02
6San Jose St
Spartans
4.4 (2.6)2-10 (1-7)2.90

Championship Game

Boise St over San Diego St

Notes

Boise St like UCF is a team that with their schedule could end up as a Group of 5 Playoff team. They would have to run the gauntlet and hope FSU reclaimed past glory (top 25 at least). As well as hoping 1-2 more of their opponents finished with 10 or 11 wins. Their chances are less than UCF, but they aren’t zero.

I expect Boise to be a top 25 team by season’s end and San Diego St to hover around the top 25 for much of the season (although not finish in it or receiving votes).

Should be a good year for the Mountain West. No NY6 bowl however. 7 bowl eligible teams.

Bowl Projections

TeamBowl Projection
Boise StLas Vegas Bowl
San Diego StIdaho Potato Bowl
Fresno StNew Mexico Bowl
Utah StArizona
HawaiiHawaii
WyomingFrisco Bowl
Air ForceArmed Forces Bowl

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