Simplified Football 2017 Season Preview

Well I hope everyone is ready for the 2017 season! I know we here at Simplified Football sure are. It’s year 4 of the playoff system and there is sure to be a lot of controversy and discussion and twists and turns this season. We’ll start this season off like all the other seasons. with a Power Poll of the top 25 Rated teams, as well as a prediction of the final Top 25 and Conference Champions. The Power Poll is just a ranking of how our formula rates each team based off of talent, experience, and past performance relative to their talent and experience.

Last season’s Top rated team was Alabama who made it to the Championship game for the 2nd straight season. The eventual National Champion Clemson was 11th, Washington was 18th, and Ohio State was 9th in our Pre-Season Power Poll. Our Predictions had Alabama, Clemson, and Ohio St in the top 6 and Washington 23. 15 of the Power Poll Top 25 finished in the Final top 25 and 16 of our Top 25 predictions finished there.

This year the top 20 average 4.67. Last year it averaged 4.55.  This year the teams are a better than the teams last year. There were a few tweaks to the formula (as is normal) but all in all the tweaks did not account for anything close to .12 difference on average.

There is a pretty steep difference in the ACC, Big10, Pac12, and SEC and the Big 12. I know for the Bowls terminology it is the Power 5, but this year it’s closer to the Power 5 and then the Big 12. Also there is a pretty big difference in the American conference and the rest of the group of 5 conferences (MWC, MAC, Sun Belt, and CUSA). This year it’s closer to the Power 4, the big 2, and the group of 4. Although there is still a decent gap between the Big 12 and the American conference. One more thing to add is that the difference in the Big 12 isn’t so much a lack of quality teams at the top as Texas, Ok St, and OU are all top 25 caliber teams and maybe even TCU. But the lack of decent teams in the middle and having bad teams at the bottom. I do think the top 2 in any of the Power 4 conferences (Clemson, FSU, Ohio St, Penn St, Alabama, Auburn, USC, Washington and a few more like Michigan, Stanford, Georgia, and Wisconsin) would all win the Big 12.

SF Pre-Season Top 25:

  1. Alabama (5.25)
  2. FSU (5.15)
  3. Ohio St (4.93)
  4. Auburn (4.91)
  5. Washington (4.80)
  6. Penn St (4.76)
  7. LSU (4.73)
  8. USC (4.68)
  9. Stanford (4.64)
  10. Wisconsin (4.59)
  11. Clemson (4.59)
  12. Georgia (4.59)
  13. Oklahoma St (4.58)
  14. Oklahoma (4.54)
  15. Florida (4.49)
  16. UCLA (4.49)
  17. Miami (4.47)
  18. Michigan (4.45)
  19. Texas (4.43)
  20. Arizona St (4.42)
  21. Ole Miss (4.40)
  22. Tennessee (4.36)
  23. TCU (4.30)
  24. Houston (4.29)
  25. Vanderbilt (4.28)

For the predictions we will predict each Conference Champion, Playoff Teams and the Final CFP rankings (pre-Bowl) and finish it with our Championship game prediction:

SF 2016 Predictions:

SEC: Alabama over Georgia

ACC: FSU over Miami

Big 12: Oklahoma over Texas

Pac 12: USC over Washington

Big 10: Ohio St over Wisconsin

American: USF over Houston

MWC: Boise St over San Diego St

C-USA: Southern Miss over Marshall

MAC: Western Michigan over Bowling Green

Sun Belt: Appalachian State

 

Final CFP Top 25 Predictions:

  1. Alabama
  2. FSU
  3. Ohio St
  4. USC
  5. Penn St
  6. Washington
  7. Clemson
  8. Michigan
  9. Notre Dame
  10. Wisconsin
  11. Auburn
  12. Stanford
  13. Oklahoma
  14. Georgia
  15. Oklahoma St
  16. Miami
  17. USF
  18. Louisville
  19. Northwestern
  20. LSU
  21. Houston
  22. Western Michigan
  23. Arizona State
  24. Virginia Tech
  25. NC State

 

Contract Bowls:

Peach – Michigan v USF

Fiesta – Penn St v Washington

Cotton – Auburn v Oklahoma

Orange – Clemson v Notre Dame

Playoffs:

Sugar – Alabama v USC

Rose – Florida State v Ohio St

Championship Game in Tampa: Florida State v Alabama

2017 Champion – Alabama 

 

Week 5 Match-Ups

Last week SF went 5-2 again bringing yearly total to 18-9 (67%).

Formula went 35-16 straight up (136-55 on the year).

& 27-24 Against The Spread (83-106 on the year).

 

Another very good week with 3 Top 10 Match-ups and several other quality games.

SF Picks:

  1. Stanford 24 – Washington 21
  2. Oklahoma St 41 – Texas 37
  3. Tennessee 28 – UGA 21
  4. FSU 35 – UNC 31
  5. Michigan 28 – Wisconsin 21
  6. Clemson 31 – Louisville 28
  7. TCU 38 – OU 28

 

Formula Picks (Straight Up pick is in Bold):

UCONN +28 (@ Houston)

Kansas +28.5 (@ Texas Tech)

Stanford +3.5 (@ Washington)

Toledo +3.5 (@ BYU)

Notre Dame -11.5 (@ Syracuse)

Baylor -16.5 (@Iowa St)

Vanderbilt +10 (v Florida)

Texas +2.5 (@ Oklahoma St)

Rutgers +38.5 (@ Ohio St)

Northwestern +13 (@ Iowa)

UCF +4 (@ ECU)

SMU +12.5 (@ Temple)

Miami -7 (@ Georgia Tech)

Georgia State +18.5 (@Appalachian St)

Virginia +4 (@ Duke)

Boston COllege -17.5 (v Buffalo)

Oregon St +17.5 (@ Colorado)

Miami (oh) +3 (v Ohio)

Bowling Green -2.5 (v Eastern Mich)

Navy +7 (@ Air Force)

Auburn -32.5 (v ULM)

Georgia +3.5 (v Tennessee)

UMASS +2.5 (v Tulane)

Northern Illinois +4 (@ Ball St)

Florida State -10 (v UNC)

Kent State +7 (v Akron)

Wake Forest +10 (@ NCSU)

Purdue +10.5 (@ Maryland)

Michigan -10.5 (v Wisconsin)

Nevada over Hawaii

Illinois +21 (@ Nebraska)

Penn St -3 (v Minnesota)

West Virginia -3.5 (v Kansas St)

So Carolina +18 (v Texas AM)

San Jose St +8.5 (@ New Mexico)

TCU +3.5 (v OU)

Idaho +14 (v Troy)

Charlotte +9.5 (v Old Dominion)

Utah +1.5 (@ California)

Ole Miss -14.5 (v Memphis)

Kentucky +35 (@ Alabama)

FIU +6.5 (v FAU)

UTEP +19.5 (@ Louisiana Tech)

North Texas +15.5 (v Mid Tenn St)

Rice +24 (@ Southern Miss)

Cincinnati +6 (v USF)

Central Mich +3.5 (v Western Mich)

Pitt -16 (v Marshall)

LSU -13 (v Missouri)

Clemson +2 (v Louisville)

South Alabama +19.5 (v San Diego St)

ULL -4.5 (@ New Mexico St)

Michigan St -6.5 (@ Indiana)

USC -10 (v Arizona St)

Oregon -1.5 (@ Wash St)

Utah St +20 (@ Boise St)

Colorado St -6.5 (v Wyoming)

Fresno St +9 (@ UNLV)

Arizona +13 (@ UCLA)

Week 4 Picks

Last week SF went 5-2 bringing the yearly total to 13-7 (65%).

Formula was 39-16 Straight up, 101-39 on the year.

It was 22-32 ATS, 56-82 on the year.

 

It is another good week of Football games featuring several top Match-ups, will see a few undefeated teams fall this week again.

Simplified Football Picks:

  1. Clemson over GT 24-20
  2. Baylor over Oklahoma St 31-28
  3. Ole Miss over UGA 34-31
  4. Michigan St over Wisconsin 24-21
  5. Tennessee over Florida 17-14
  6. UCLA over Stanford 28-24
  7. Texas A&M over Arkansas 34-27

 

Formula Picks (Straight up picks in Bold):

Clemson -10 (@ GT)

Eastern Michigan +3 (v Wyoming)

SMU +21 (v TCU)

USC +3 (@ Utah)

Kent St +44 (@ Bama)

Georgia +7.5 (@ Ole Miss)

Purdue -6 (v Nevada)

San Jose St +7 (@Iowa St)

Charlotte +27.5 (@ Temple)

Rutgers +13.5 (@ Iowa)

FSU -7 (@ USF)

Colorado St +16 (@ Minnesota)

Wisconsin +5.5 (@ Michigan St)

Virginia Tech -11 (v ECU)

Syracuse +3.5 (@ UCONN)

Miami (oh) +17.5 (@ Cincinnati)

Akron +6.5 (v Appalachian St)

Oregon St +13.5 (v Boise St)

West Virginia -7 (v BYU)

Duke +21 (@ Notre Dame)

UMASS +22 (v Miss St)

UF +7 (@ Tennessee)

UNC -7 (v Pitt)

UTSA +4 (@ ODU)

Penn St +16 (@ Michigan)

Wake Forest +6.5 (@ Indiana)

Vanderbilt +7.5 (@ Western KY)

Fresno St +14.5 (v Tulsa)

Oregon -10 (v Colorado)

Auburn +3.5 (v LSU)

FAU +3.5 (v Ball St)

North Texas +7 (@ Rice)

Texas St +35 (v Houston)

New Mexico St +20 (@ Troy)

Georgia Southern +7 (@ Western Michigan)

UCF -6.5 (@ FIU)

Louisiana Tech +5.5 (@ MTSU)

Buffalo +14 (v Army)

Northwestern +7.5 (v Nebraska)

Oklahoma St +8.5 (@ Baylor)

USC +3 (@ UK)

UCLA +3.5 (v Stanford)

Marshall +27 (v Louisville)

Bowling Green +16.5 (@ Memphis)

Lafayette +5 (@ Tulane)

Southern Miss -10 (@ UTEP)

Idaho +14.5 (@ UNLV)

TAMU -6 (v Arkansas)

Arizona St -4 (v California)

Utah St +3 (v Air Force)

Washington

Week 3 Match-ups

Last week SF was 3-1 in their picks, bringing the season total to 8-5.

The Formula was 17-28 (34-50 on the season) Against the Spread

& 36-9 (62-23 on the season) Straight Up.

 

This week’s SF picks:

  1. Louisville over FSU 31-28. Lamar Jackson is too much for FSU to handle on the road with Derwin James. FSU goes down in a tight game
  2. Oregon over Nebraska 32-21. Nebraska fights valiantly but Oregon pulls off the Upset on the Road.
  3. Alabama over Ole Miss 34-24. Hurd outplays Morris and takes advantage of Ole Miss’ depleted secondary as Alabama gets revenge from the last 2 seasons.
  4. Texas A&M over Auburn 28-24. TAMU goes to Auburn and pulls off a big win against Auburn.
  5. Notre Dame over Michigan St 28-21. Notre Dame defends it’s home turf and stays in contention for a playoff berth.
  6. Ohio St over Oklahoma 42-38. Ohio St destroys OU in Norman and puts the Big 12’s playoff chances on life support…in Week 3.
  7. Stanford over USC 24-21. Stanford wins a tough home game to remain a legit playoff contender.

 

Formula Picks (Straight Up pick is in Bold):

Cincinnati +8.5 (v Houston)

Rice +31 (v Baylor)

Arkansas St +9 (@ Utah St)

UTSA +19.5 (v Arizona St)

Ohio +27.5 (@ Tennessee)

Iowa St +24.5 (@ TCU)

Akron +17 (@ Marshall)

Rutgers -5.5 (v New Mexico)

Bowling Green +6.5 (v Mid Tenn St)

Florida St -3 (@ Louisville)

Penn St -8.5 (v Temple)

Kansas +20 (@ Memphis)

Georgia St +34.5 (@ Wisconsin)

Miami -4 (@ Appalachian St)

Vandy +6.5 (@ Georgia Tech)

UVA +4.5 (@UCONN)

Idaho +25 (@ Washington St)

FAU +22 (@ Kansas St)

UNLV +13 (@ Central Michigan)

Fresno St +20.5 (@ Toledo)

NIU +10.5 (v San Diego St)

Colorado +21 (@ Michigan)

Oregon +3 (@ Nebraska)

Alabama -11 (@ Ole Miss)

UMASS Even (v FIU)

Miami (oh) +17.5 (v Western KY)

Pittsburgh +6 (@ Oklahoma St)

Syracuse +14.5 (v USF)

Boston College +6 (@ Virginia Tech)

Illinois +3 (v Western Michigan)

Kentucky -19.5 (v New Mexico St)

South Carolina -3 (v ECU)

Charlotte +3 (v Eastern Michigan)

Old Dominion +21.5 (@North Carolina St)

Louisiana Monroe +25 (@ Georgia Southern)

UCF +8.5 (v Maryland)

Tulane +6 (v Navy)

Louisiana Lafayette -3 (v Southern Alabama)

Louisiana Tech +11 (@ Texas Tech)

Southern Mississippi -10.5 (v Troy)

LSU -14 (v Mississippi St)

Texas AM +3.5 (@ Auburn)

UTEP +4 (v Army)

Texas St +31 (@ Arkansas)

North Texas +36.5 (@ Florida)

Notre Dame -7.5 (v Michigan St)

Georgia -7 (@ Missouri)

Ohio St -3 (@ Oklahoma)

Duke +6 (@ Northwestern)

USC +9 (@ Stanford)

Nevada -11 (v Buffalo)

UCLA -3.5 (@ BYU)

San Jose St +13 (v Utah)

Texas -8 (@ California)

Hawaii +24.5 (v Arizona)

 

Week 2 Match-Ups

SF went 5-4 last week, not bad for a week 1 with so many top match-ups.

The Formula was 17-22 Against The Spread & 26-14 Straight Up.

 

This week pales in comparison to last week, but we still picked 4 games to predict as well as the Formula’s picks for the rest of the games.

Top Games:

  1. Pittsburgh 20 – Penn St 17 (A defensive affair see’s Pitt RB Conner have another good day and top it off with a game winning score in the 4th).
  2. TCU 35 – Arkansas 32 (Arkansas takes advantage of a weak TCU defense, but Kenny Hill proves too much in the end out scoring Arkansas).
  3. Utah 28 – BYU 21 (The Holy War sees Utah get a win over rivals BYU).
  4. Tennessee 24 – Virginia Tech 21 (The biggest game this week, primarily due to the location, not the participating teams, has Tennessee outlasting VT to win).

 

Formula’s picks (Straight up picks are in Bold):

Maryland -10 (@FIU)

Syracuse +14.5 (v Louisville)

Central Michigan +21 (@ Oklahoma St)

NC State -4.5 (@ ECU)

Penn St +6 (@ Pittsburgh)

UCF +35.5 (@Michigan)

Purdue +6.5 (v Cincinnati)

Rice +10 (@ Army)

UMASS +17 (v BC)

Wyoming +24.5 (@ Nebraska)

Troy +36 (@ Clemson)

Georgia State +18 (@Air Force)

USC -16 (v Utah State)

Kansas -3 (v Ohio)

UCONN +3.5 (@ Navy)

Tulsa +29.5 (@Ohio State)

Wake Forest +5 (@ Duke)

Old Dominion +20.5 (@Appalachian St)

Akron +24 (@ Wisconsin)

Nevada +28 (@ Notre Dame)

UK +17 (@ Florida)

Alabama -29.5 (v Western Kentucky)

SMU +32 (@Baylor)

Ball State +18 (@ Indiana)

UTSA +10.5 (@ Colorado State)

Vanderbilt -5.5 (v MTSU)

Idaho +37 (@ Washington)

Miami -24 (v FAU)

USA +13 (v Georgia Southern)

ULM +46 (@ OU)

NIU +14.5 (@ USF)

UTEP +29 (@ Texas)

South Carolina +6.5 (@ Miss State)

Arkansas +7.5 (@TCU)

Auburn -19 (v Arkansas St)

Iowa St +15 (@ Iowa)

Utah -3.5 (v BYU)

Eastern Michigan +25 (@ Missouri)

Illinois +9.5 (v UNC)

VT +11.5 (v Tennessee)

UCLA -26.5 (v UNLV)

New Mexico -12.5 (@ New Mexico St)

Texas Tech @ Arizona State is a Push

Washington St +11.5 (@ Boise St)

Cal +7.5 (@ San Diego St)

UVA +24.5 (@ Oregon)

Week 1 Match-Ups

Going to do things a tad different this year. I will still give my picks for the top match-ups each week. But this year I am going to add in every game between FBS opponents and the formula’s pick against the Spread.

So far over the last 3 years I am 68% with my picks here. Hopefully I can continue that this year.

There are a LOT of good games to start the 2016 season off, enough that many are saying this is the best opening week ever. I think this might be one of the best College Football Season’s ever!

 

Top Match-ups:

  1. Stanford 38 – Kansas St 24 (Kansas St keeps it close, but Stanford pulls away at the end)
  2. Oklahoma 35 – Houston 28 (Houston’s upset bid and Playoff chances end as OU’s offense proves too much for Houston to handle)
  3. Texas A&M 31 – UCLA 28 (In what might be the best game of the weekend, Texas A&M holds off UCLA)
  4. LSU 24 – Wisconsin 14 (Wisconsin’s Defense keeps them in the game and keeps Fournette under wraps for most of the game, LSU depth proves too much in the end)
  5. Georgia 27 – North Carolina 31 (Mitch Trobisky ruins Coach Smart’s first game and enters the national conscience)
  6. Alabama 31 – USC 21 (USC just doesn’t have the depth to hang with Alabama this year. Alabama out lasts USC)
  7. Clemson 28 – Auburn 21 (Auburn keeps this game closer than many expect. But Clemson is too good in the end)
  8. Notre Dame 28 – Texas 20 (Texas Defense keeps them in the game, but their offense just isn’t good enough to pull off the upset. Keep it close in Austin)
  9. Florida State 28 – Ole Miss 17 (Dalvin Cook has a good day, and FSU pulls away from Ole Miss in the end. FSU’s defense makes a statement for 2016).

 

Formula Spread Picks (Straight up pick is in bold):

  1. Charlotte +39 (@Louisville)
  2. Tulane +17 (@Wake Forest)
  3. FIU +10.5 (Indiana)
  4. Appalachian St +21.5 (@Tenn)
  5. South Carolina +4 (@Vandy)
  6. Rice +17 (@WKU)
  7. Oregon St +13 (@Minn)
  8. Georgia St – 4 (Ball St)
  9. Army +16 (@Temple)
  10. Colorado St +8.5 (@Colorado)
  11. Kansas St +15 (@Stanford)
  12. Arkansas St -3.5 (Toledo)
  13. Georgia Tech -3 (@Boston College)
  14. Oklahoma -11.5 (Houston)
  15. Bowling Green +28 (@Ohio St)
  16. Northwestern -5 (Western Mich)
  17. Hawaii +40 (@Michigan)
  18. Louisiana Lafayette +20 (Boise St)
  19. South Alabama +28 (@Miss St)
  20. West Virginia -10 (Missouri)
  21. Rutgers +27 (@Washington)
  22. UCLA +3 (@Texas A&M)
  23. Wisconsin +10.5 (LSU)
  24. Kent State +21.5 (@Penn St)
  25. Miami (Oh) +27.5) (Iowa)
  26. Texas St +21 (@Ohio)
  27. Louisiana Tech +26 (Arkansas)
  28. North Carolina +3 (UGA)
  29. North Texas +9.5 (SMU)
  30. San Jose St +5.5 (@Tulsa)
  31. Kentucky -6.5 (Southern Miss)
  32. UMASS +36 (@UF)
  33. USC +12 (Alabama)
  34. Fresno State +28 (@Nebraska)
  35. UTEP -9 (New Mexico St)
  36. Auburn +8 (Clemson)
  37. Arizona -1 (BYU)
  38. Wyoming +10 (NIU)
  39. Notre Dame -4 (@Texas)
  40. Florida State -4.5 (Ole Miss)

Simplified Football 2016 Season Preview

Well I hope everyone is ready for the 2016 season! I know we here at Simplified Football sure are. It’s year 3 of the playoff system and there is sure to be a lot of controversy and discussion and twists and turns this season. We’ll start this season off with a Power Poll of the top 25 Rated teams, as well as a prediction of the final Top 25 and Conference Champions. The Power Poll is just a ranking of how our formula rates each team based off of talent, experience, and past performance relative to their talent and experience.

Last season’s Top rated team was Alabama. Who ended up winning the National Title. Michigan State was 5th and Clemson was top 25. Only Oklahoma last year was outside of the Pre-season top 25. 2014 We correctly predicted 3 of the Playoff Teams (FSU, Oregon, and Alabama), with the 4th team being the Big 10 champ who we predicted as Wisconsin instead of Ohio St (We correctly had Wisconsin and Ohio St in the Big 10 Champ game, just incorrectly predicted the winner).

 

SF Pre-Season Top 25:

  1. Alabama (4.96)
  2. FSU (4.84)
  3. LSU (4.83)
  4. Michigan (4.69)
  5. UCLA (4.62)
  6. Texas A&M (4.56)
  7. Southern Cal (4.55)
  8. Notre Dame (4.54)
  9. Ohio St (4.54)
  10. Auburn (4.52)
  11. Clemson (4.51)
  12. West Virginia (4.50)
  13. Georgia (4.45)
  14. Tennessee (4.44)
  15. Stanford (4.44)
  16. Miami (4.43)
  17. Oklahoma St (4.42)
  18. Washington (4.41)
  19. Oklahoma (4.40)
  20. Oregon (4.36)
  21. Baylor (4.36)
  22. North Carolina (4.36)
  23. Ole Miss (4.31)
  24. Arkansas (4.29)
  25. Michigan St (4.25)

 

 

 

For the predictions we will predict each Conference Champion, Playoff Teams and the Final CFP rankings (pre-Bowl) and finish it with our Championship game prediction:

 

SF 2016 Predictions:

SEC: Alabama (12-1) over Georgia (9-4)

ACC: FSU (12-1) over UNC (9-4)

Big 12: Oklahoma 10-2

Pac 12: UCLA (11-2) over Stanford (10-3)

Big 10: Ohio St (11-2) over Iowa (8-5)

American: Houston (10-3) over Cincinnati (8-5)

MWC: San Diego St (10-3) over Boise St (8-5)

C-USA: Western Kentucky (10-3) over Southern Miss (9-4)

MAC: Bowling Green (9-4) over Western Michigan (8-5)

Sun Belt: Arkansas St (10-2)

 

Final CFP Top 25 Predictions:

  1. Alabama
  2. FSU
  3. UCLA
  4. OU
  5. Ohio St
  6. Clemson
  7. Michigan
  8. LSU
  9. USC
  10. Notre Dame
  11. Georgia
  12. Tennessee
  13. Stanford
  14. West Virginia
  15. North Carolina
  16. Michigan St
  17. Oregon
  18. Oklahoma St
  19. TCU
  20. Texas A&M
  21. Miami
  22. Auburn
  23. Washington
  24. Ole Miss
  25. Louisville

*Alabama and FSU are clearly in with the toughest schedules and most wins against the top 25 (and their losses to top 25 teams). UCLA has a bad loss but overall a tougher schedule than Ohio State and the Champ game over OU. Ohio State has the Championship game over OU, but OU has a head to head win (beating Ohio St earlier in the season) thus they get the nod. It would be a headache for the CFP deciding between those 3 as well as Clemson, LSU, and Michigan in the end. 

 

Contract Bowls:

Rose – Ohio St v USC

Sugar – LSU v West Virginia

Cotton – Michigan v Houston

Orange – Clemson v Notre Dame

 

Playoffs:

Peach – Alabama v Oklahoma

Fiesta – Florida St v UCLA

 

Championship Game in Tampa: Florida State v Oklahoma

 

2016 Champion – Florida State

Week 8 Match Ups

4-2 again last week. On the season 21-15. Think this is a tricky week.

  1. Cal 34 – UCLA 31
  2. Clemson 28- Miami 24
  3. Oklahoma 42 – Texas Tech 28
  4. Ole Miss 38 – Texas A&M 34
  5. USC 35 – Utah 31

Week 7 Match Ups

Last week went 4-2, brings total on season to 17-13.

Had 6 games picked for the week, but wasn’t able to publish picks yesterday, so I will leave off the Stanford over UCLA pick as it’s a day late, and add the FSU v Louisville Game.

  1. Northwestern 17 – Iowa 14
  2. Michigan 24 – Michigan St 17
  3. Alabama 31 – Texas A&M 28
  4. LSU 24 – UF 17
  5. Notre Dame 38 – USC 28
  6. FSU 28 – Louisville 17

Week 6 Top Match-Ups

2 Weeks ago I was 3-3 which brings me to 13-11 on the season.

This weeks games:

  1. Clemson 24 – Georgia Tech 17: In a defensive battle Clemson is able to run the ball against GT and come out on top in this rivalry game.
  2. Michigan 17 – Northwestern 10: In a game that pits 2 of the better defensive teams, both with little offense, expect a very low scoring game. Michigan continues to impress in this game and comes up victorious.
  3. West Virginia 30 – Oklahoma St 28: In what will be the biggest defensive battle in the Big 12 this year, WVU is able to a tenacious OK St pass rush to win.
  4. Florida 24 – Missouri 17: Florida continues their assent to the top of the SEC East and is able to get a little more offense than Missouri in this game.
  5. Florida State 31 – Miami 21: Florida State is able to control the line of scrimmage and keeps the ball on the ground against Miami. The key will be turnovers. FSU has less turnovers than Miami.
  6. California 28 – Utah 24: Cal upsets Utah on the road, as Utah struggles to stop the Cal passing attack.